Career patterns within men’s and women’s soccer talent systems: the typical pathway to the top is atypical

A summary of the research:

This study examines career pathways in women's soccer, challenging the traditional belief that early recruitment into professional academies guarantees future elite success. Researchers analyzed nearly 3,000 Dutch male and female youth players and found that only around 10% of those recruited into academies reached elite senior soccer. For women, recruitment often occurred later than for men, with most female national team players first being selected around age 14. Surprisingly, the study found that career interruptions—such as being dropped from an academy and later re-selected—were more common among those who reached the highest levels. This suggests that an uninterrupted, linear pathway is not necessarily the most effective route to success in women’s soccer.

The findings highlight the importance of flexibility within talent development systems, as future elite players often experience setbacks and nonlinear progressions. Unlike traditional models that emphasize continuous development within structured academies, this study suggests that alternative paths, including late recruitment and re-selection, can lead to elite performance. The results call for a re-evaluation of how talent is identified and nurtured in women’s soccer, advocating for longer-term opportunities and second chances for players who may not follow a straight-line development path.

Key Takeaways:

  1. Support Late Developers – Since many elite female players are recruited later than their male counterparts, talent identification programs should remain open to older age groups rather than focusing solely on early recruitment.

  2. Emphasize Resilience and Second Chances – Players who experience career setbacks, such as being dropped from an academy, should not be written off. Structured re-entry pathways and flexible scouting methods can help recognize late bloomers who may still develop into elite players.

  3. Diversify Pathways to Elite Soccer – Instead of relying solely on traditional academy systems, clubs should consider alternative development models, such as extended scouting periods, community-based training programs, and individualized player development plans.

Authors: Jan Verbeek, A. Susan M. Niessen, Steffie Van Der Steen, Nico W. Van Yperen & Ruud J. R. Den Hartigh

You can read the entire article here.

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